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The semiconductor industry is booming, but it’s too early to rejoice
Based on key indications, the semiconductor industry is booming now, as evidenced by the latest data in a report from analyst firm In-Stat / MDR. However, analysts warn that it is still too early to rejoice in growth, and although an upturn is expected this year and next, after it, the industry may again come to difficult times.
The main argument for such a cautious forecast by analysts is the lack of new consumer goods (“killer apps”) that can become an engine for continued growth. According to researchers, personal computers and cell phones are no longer so.
Since the growth of the industry is associated with such indicators as the volume of supplies and the weighted average price, since most of the modern high-end products are standardized, becoming generally available, or are sold in conditions of fierce competition, one cannot count on an increase in average prices (to the delight of consumers) , and the volume of supplies, as mentioned above, is unlikely to grow strongly (how can you not recall the motto: supply creates demand?). In addition, weighted average prices are likely to continue to fall as CMOS (CMOS) manufacturing processes become more widespread and affordable, and a new star is on the horizon of the industry – China.
Thus, analysts conclude, slight growth in the industry will continue in 2021, in 2021 and 2021 the semiconductor market is expected to decline, after which new growth may begin, expressed exclusively in the growth of supplies to emerging markets, including China.
Meanwhile, there is an interesting situation in the monitor sector. To be precise, in the segment of CRT monitors, prices for which began to rise last week, and, as observers believe, will continue to rise in May. In mid-April, prices for CRT monitors rose by 2-3%, which corresponds to $ 1-1.5, and in May, an additional $ 2-3 is expected. This is in line with the plans of the main CRT manufacturers: – Samsung SDI, LG.Philips Displays and Chunghwa Picture Tubes (CPT). Now the cost of 15 “and 17” pipes is $ 35 and $ 45, respectively. CRT prices may rise by 8-10% in the second quarter.